PredictIt is an online prediction market, which allows users to buy "yes" or "no" contracts on the outcome of political events. Before the event occurs, owned contracts can be sold at a profit or a loss. After the event occurs, the prediction market resolves, and each winning contract receives $1.00.
In February 2019, I created an account and decided to track the performance of my initial $50.00 deposit. While my own political opinions often align with my bets, I have tried to focus on buying undervalued contracts. Therefore, the data displayed here are not necessarily a reflection of my personal opinions.
This page uses PredictIt's account history export to find my recent trades, Pandas to manipulate the data, and D3.js to display my results.
Last Account History Update: April 23, 2020 11:39PM
Month | EoM Value | Monthly Return | Total Return |
---|---|---|---|
2020-01 | $60.37 | 3.2% | 20.7% |
2019-12 | $58.52 | 10.2% | 17.0% |
2019-11 | $53.10 | 7.3% | 6.2% |
2019-10 | $49.50 | 8.0% | -1.0% |
2019-09 | $45.82 | -34.0% | -8.4% |
2019-08 | $69.47 | 18.2% | 38.9% |
2019-07 | $58.76 | 20.9% | 17.5% |
2019-06 | $48.62 | 4.3% | -2.8% |
2019-05 | $46.63 | 2.3% | -6.7% |
2019-04 | $45.57 | -10.4% | -8.9% |
2019-03 | $50.87 | 2.4% | 1.7% |
2019-02 | $49.66 | -0.7% | -0.7% |
Final Trade:
2019-12-10
Trades:
92
Final Trade:
2019-03-07
Trades:
20
Final Trade:
2019-12-09
Trades:
28
Final Trade:
2019-11-21
Trades:
82
Final Trade:
2019-07-24
Trades:
10
Final Trade:
2019-09-01
Trades:
380
Final Trade:
2019-04-01
Trades:
1620
Final Trade:
2019-12-10
Trades:
120
Final Trade:
2020-01-09
Trades:
50
Final Trade:
2019-12-07
Trades:
86